The strategies behind the decisions.

Check ADX value. If < 25, HOLD unconditionally. If >= 25, evaluate direction and entry conditions.

Check if ADX confirms the breakout (ADX rising above 25 with directional alignment). If confirmed, enter on the first pullback.

Monitor ADX direction. If ADX is rising from below 25 toward 25+, prepare for a potential entry. Do not pre-enter.

Stand aside completely. ADX is likely < 25 in a range. This strategy has zero edge in range-bound conditions.

Ideal regime. Verify ADX > 25 and +DI > -DI. Look for pullbacks to EMA 20 for entry. This is where the strategy has its highest edge.

If ADX > 25 and -DI > +DI, this confirms a bearish trend. Avoid long entries. If holding, this is an exit signal.

When regime is unclear, monitor Bollinger Band width and ATR for compression signals. Do not force entries.

Already in breakout regime — if not yet positioned, look for a pullback entry to the breakout level (S/R flip). If already positioned, manage the trade with trailing stops.

Transitions often precede breakouts. Tighten monitoring but do not pre-enter. Wait for the confirmed break.

Watch for the range to end. The longer the range, the more explosive the eventual breakout. Be patient and prepared.

Breakouts in the direction of an existing uptrend are higher probability. Enter with normal sizing.

Upside breakouts against a downtrend are counter-trend and riskier. Require stronger volume confirmation (200%+ of SMA).

Evaluate all 5 factors independently. Act only when alignment threshold is met. When in doubt, HOLD.

If breakout is confirmed by trend, volume, and momentum (3 factors), enter with standard sizing. Use structure for stop placement.

Maximum caution. Require 4+ factor alignment to act. Prefer HOLD. Transitions are where composite strategies prevent the most bad trades.

Weight structure (S/R, Bollinger) and volume. Mean reversion setups are preferred. Require tighter alignment for entries.

Weight trend and momentum factors. Look for pullback entries confirmed by at least volume and one structural factor.

Defensive posture. Require 4+ bearish factors to SELL. For longs, stand aside unless a strong reversal signal appears across all 5 factors.

When regime is unclear, prefer HOLD with reduced sizing. Mean reversion requires a defined range to trade.

Stand aside. Breakouts invalidate the range that mean reversion depends on. Wait for the breakout to fail or a new range to form.

Reduce position size. Transitions can resolve into trends that punish mean reversion. Use tighter stops.

Primary regime. Actively look for RSI extremes and Bollinger Band touches. This is where mean reversion has the highest edge.

Avoid. Mean reversion longs against a strong uptrend have poor reward. Wait for the trend to weaken before engaging.

Caution. Oversold readings in a downtrend are traps more often than reversals. Require extra confirmation (double bottom, volume surge).

Identify the nearest S/R levels from recent price action. If no clear level exists, prefer HOLD.

After a breakout, the broken level is the S/R flip candidate. This is the ideal entry timing — wait for the retest.

S/R flips during transitions can be the first signal of a new trend. Enter with reduced size and widen stops.

S/R flips can occur at range boundaries. If the top of the range is broken and retested, it is a valid long entry. Be cautious of false breaks in ranges.

S/R flips in an uptrend are high probability. Broken resistance levels reliably become support when the trend is intact.

Inverse: look for support levels that break and become resistance. Avoid long-side S/R flips in a downtrend.

When regime is unclear, prefer HOLD. Trend-following requires confirmed directional context.

If breakout aligns with prior trend direction, treat as trend continuation and enter on the first pullback. If counter-trend, wait for EMA realignment.

Wait for clarity. A transition may become a new trend or a range. Do not anticipate — react to confirmed EMA alignment.

Stand aside. Trend-following performs poorly in ranges. Prefer HOLD until a directional breakout is confirmed.

Primary regime. Actively look for pullback entries to EMAs. Increase position size on confirmed trend continuation.

Avoid new long entries. If holding, tighten stops and look for exit signals. Consider this a no-trade zone for longs.